|
Date |
Report |
Title |
|
August 7 |
The
Capitalist Advisor |
An
Intellectual Power Outage
The unenlightened energy policy of the U.S. is solely
responsible for the numerous blackouts of recent years,
including the outage last week, which plunged eight
states (plus parts of Canada) and fifty million people
into darkness -- and into an uncivilized, non-industrial
existence. Moreover, that policy is due solely to the
irrational doctrines that continue to be taught in
philosophy and economics at most American universities.
|
|
August 7 |
Investment Focus |
Rising
Bond Yields: Bullish or Bearish for Stocks?
Give the recent, sharp
rise in U.S. Treasury bond yields, many strategists have
come to assume that it is (or will be) bearish for U.S.
stocks. |
|
July 30 |
InterMarket Forecaster |
The InterMarket
Forecaster |
|
July 22 |
Investment Focus |
Secular Bear Markets
Secular bear markets in
equities -- multi-year periods of stagnating or
declining stock prices-- are the bane of every investor.
Although equities tend to deliver the best risk-adjusted
returns (versus other assets) over the very long term
(many decades), investors can waste many years of
their lives with no investment gains if they become
mired in a secular bear market. |
|
July 10 |
Investor Alert |
Sector Forecasts Yielding Investor Profits
In the nine months since U.S.
stock prices hit a trough on October 9th the S&P 500
sectors that IFI favored nine months ago (at the end of
September 20021) have outperformed those sectors that we
disfavored -- by 21.2% points using a simple average and
by 10.6% points using a weighted average (based on our
advised weightings in late-September). ...Annualizing
this nine-month performance, we find that the expected
out-performers beat the expected under- performers by
14.1% points. Our sector forecasts have been very
profitable for those investors who've fully deployed
them. |
|
June 30 |
InterMarket Forecaster |
The InterMarket
Forecaster |
|
June 24 |
Investor Alert |
Fed Rate
Cuts, the Gold Price and U.S. Equity Performance
According to one account of the Federal Reserve meetings
taking place today and tomorrow, Fed officials are
likely to cut the overnight Fed Funds rate (currently
1.25%) because they are 'impatient' to see an economic
recovery in the U.S.1 In our view, using market-price
estimates, Fed officials will cut rates, but that stuff
about 'impatience' is pure hogwash -- as is the
widespread claim that Fed rate cuts are quickly bullish
for equities. In fact, rate cuts tend to be bullish only
after a long lag -- and only after the Fed makes clear
that it's finished with rate-cutting. Rate cuts are
bearish while they're being enacted (and promised). |
|
June 13 |
Investment Focus |
Plunging
T-Bond Yields: Bullish or Bearish for U.S. Equities?
The U.S. T-Bond yield has plunged by nearly 175 basis
points in the past year (to 3.20%) -- the fourth-largest
(annual) drop since 1920. Is that bullish or bearish for
U.S. equities? |
|
June 9 |
InterMarket Forecaster |
The
Policy Mix Index
A further improvement in the U.S. 'policy mix' is
apparent -- and that should provide a reasonably bullish
context for U.S. equity performance over the coming few
quarters. |
|
May 30 |
InterMarket Forecaster |
Why Do
Equities Cool When the Weather Gets Hot?
As investors look
toward the summer months, those aware of seasonal
variations in equity performance may recall the old Wall
Street adage: 'Sell in May and go away.' |
|
May 23 |
InterMarket Forecaster |
The InterMarket
Forecaster |
|
May 12 |
Investment Focus |
Sector
and Industry BETAs as Signals of Relative Equity
Performance
In corporate finance, BETA is a historical measure of a
stock's variability relative to the variability seen in
some broader index (like the S&P 500). If the broad
market is likely to rise by any material degree, one can
reasonably expect high-BETA stocks to rise by even more
(i.e., they'll be likely out-performers). Similarly,
such stocks are likely to decline by more than the
entire market declines (they'll be likely
under-performers) -- when the market declines
materially. |
|
May 7 |
Investor Alert |
What Does
a Weak Jobs Recovery Portend for U.S. Stocks?
What signal, if
any, might a U.S. equity investor obtain by observing a
weak, post- recession recovery in U.S. employment? The
answer is: a less bullish signal than if job growth has
been robust. Indeed, job growth has not been robust in
the U.S. since the last recession ended in December
2001. Nor has output grown very quickly -- at least not
when compared to eight other recoveries in the U.S.
since the 1950s. |
|
April 30 |
InterMarket Forecaster |
The InterMarket
Forecaster |
|
April 21 |
The
Capitalist Advisor |
Iraq: One
Battle in a Wider War
Many commentators have
remarked recently that the U.S. stock market has not
rebounded by as much as they expected, especially given
the recent, rapid U.S. military success in Iraq. Others
fear the market will be stuck in a long-term trading
range... |
|
April 9 |
Investment Focus |
Exchange-Traded Funds: Asset Allocation Made Easy
What factor most
explains an investor's performance in any particular
year -- or over many years, for that matter? Extensive
market research has demonstrated that nearly 95% of
performance is attributable to one's initial asset
allocation. The balance is due to the timing of
investments and the selection of specific securities.
While most investors consider only the typical,
tri-partite allocation (stocks, bonds and bills), we've
shown that commodities de- serve as much attention -- as
a separate class that of- ten outperforms stocks, bonds
and bills. S&P 500) or its sub-indexes, especially after
deducting their (often exorbitant) management expenses. |
|
April 3 |
Investor Alert |
Gold: The Objective War Correspondent
Now, more than
ever, equity investors should pay attention to the
message being delivered by gold. Let the neophytes get
their 'news' from biased reporters like Peter Arnett and
Geraldo Rivera -- or from the media sheep who nip at the
heels of U.S. military leaders in daily briefings at
Central Command in Qatar. And let the Keynesians persist
in dismissing gold as a 'barbaric relic.' It's no such
thing -- and in recent weeks it's been predicting a
swift and decisive U.S. defeat of the real barbaric
relic, a.k.a. Saddam Hussein. |
|
March 31 |
The
Capitalist Advisor |
From
Containment to Pre-Emption: A New, Pro-Capitalist
Defense Policy
The U.S. war
against the terrorist regime in Iraq is a proper and
welcome action. In our view it should have occurred long
ago. But on the bright side, this war could mark the
beginning of a new, pro-capitalist (and bullish) U.S.
foreign policy. |
|
March 28 |
InterMarket Forecaster |
The InterMarket
Forecaster |
|
March 14 |
Investment Focus |
CAPEX,
the 'Excess Capacity' Myth and Sector Performance
Yesterday's
sharp price action gave investors just a small taste of
what's to come if the U.S. finally wages war quickly and
effectively. Equity prices and the dollar shot upward,
gold and oil prices plunged and the T-Bond yield
increased (allowing a narrowing in corporate spreads).
Market commentators continue to mislead investors by
claiming that such equity rallies (and commodity-price
declines) reflect a lesser chance of war. In fact they
reflect a great chance of war. The news that most
affected markets yesterday was testimony by Colin Powell
that the U.S. would likely go to war even if it does not
getting backing from the U.N. |
|
March 7 |
Investor Alert |
Snow
"Isn't Troubled"-- So Markets Are
As we predicted,
new U.S. Treasury Secretary John Snow has presided,
without objection, over a weak dollar. He hasn't said
explicitly that he favors a weak dollar. But his actions
speak louder than his words; he's done nothing to stem
the dollar's decline. |
|
February 28 |
InterMarket Forecaster |
The InterMarket
Forecaster |
|
February 24 |
Invester Alert |
Inflation, Inflation Everywhere -- But Not a Jot, They
Think
It is somewhat bizarre
that economists, Fed officials and commentators in the
financial media have been worrying about 'deflation' (a
rise in the purchasing power of a currency) in recent
years and months. Not only is deflation non-existent --
but if it did exist it would be bullish for equity
performance. |
|
February 17 |
The
Capitalist Advisor |
Bush is
All Hat and No Horse
Investors should be
careful not to be fooled by the conventional commentary
about war and the markets. Every week that U.S. stock
prices and the U.S. dollar decline, while oil and gold
prices rise, commentators attribute the pattern to
'war.' Every time stocks and the dollar rise, while oil
and gold prices decline, the moves are attributed to a
lessened chance of war. If that were true an investor in
U.S. stocks should be bearish (and an investor in
commodities should be bullish) if there is war. Equally,
if there is no war, one should be bullish on stocks and
bearish on commodities. But it isn't true. Indeed, the
facts support exactly the opposite conclusion. which
itself harbors terrorist regimes as 'voting' members who
oppose U.S. self-defense. |
|
February 7 |
Investment Focus |
Corporate Leverage, Credit Spreads and Bond Yields
Fixed income investors who
understand the nature of corporate credit spreads are in
a far better position to outperform peers compared to
those who don't. Credit spreads--measured as the
differences between yields on corporate bonds and yields
on Treasury bonds -- exhibit both a cyclical and a
secular character. |
|
January 31 |
|
Dividend
Taxes, Capital Taxes and Investment Returns
Historically, lower tax rates in the U.S. have been
associated with above-average returns on U.S. stocks and
bonds, while higher tax rates have accompanied
below-average returns on each asset class. Thus there is
an undeniably bullish aspect to the Bush
Administration's recent proposal to abolish the federal
tax on dividend in- come and to accelerate scheduled
reductions in marginal tax rates on other personal
income. But the extent to which these proposals are
watered down by Congress or delayed in implementation
the near-term effect will be bearish. |
|
January 23 |
|
Outlook 2003
This outlook provides
investors with market-based forecasts of more than 100
separate variables, 80% of which represent investable
assets. Thus the forecasts provide practical guidance to
portfolio managers. IFI covers currencies, commodities,
stocks, bonds and bills--as well as sector and 'style'
bets. Finally, we contrast our forecasts of the S&P 500
price index, S&P 500 operating profits, the
price-earnings multiple and the 10-year T-Bond yield
with those of leading strategists at Wall Street
brokerage firms |
|
January 8 |
InterMarket Forecaster |
Informative Anomalies
When, in the 131-year history of S&P
indexes before 2002, did the price index 1) decline two
straight years, 2) decline by more in the second year
than the first and 3) decline while profits increased? |
| January 1 |
|
Track Record 2002 |
2002 |
|
|
|
December 31 |
InterMarket Forecaster |
The InterMarket
Forecaster |
|
December 20 |
Investor Alert |
War Gold Research and Jobs
A number of recent
developments relating to the 'war,' the gold price, a
Wall Street research 'settlement' and the 'jobless
recovery' are worth noting and explaining -- especially
as they are influencing (and will influence) U.S.
stocks. |
|
December 10 |
Investor Alert |
The Snow Job at Treasury
We were amused to find that market commentators and the
media were nearly breathless last weekend in describing
the alleged 'shake-up' in President Bush's economic
policy team. On December 6th the President fired Paul
O'Neil (Secretary of the Treasury) and Larry Lindsey
(head of the National Economic Council). Presumably, the
President was un-happy with the pair (as he should have
been) especially the more important of the two, Mr.
O'Neill. Why, then, did Bush bother, yesterday, to
nominate John Snow, a near-clone of O'Neill? |
|
December 6 |
Investment Focus |
Inflation Deflation and Investment Returns
Equity markets in
the U.S. and Japan have suffered in recent years from
inflation - not from deflation," as everyone claims.
That's why commodities have outperformed stocks in the
past three years. Such out-performance is not uncommon:
since 1970 in the U.S. commodities have out-performed
stocks more than half the time. History shows that
inflation is bearish for stocks, while deflation is
bullish. To ensure a new bull market in equities, U.S.
and Japanese officials must deflate their currencies -
or, at the very least, inflate them at a far-lesser rate
than they have been since 2000. Until and unless they do
so, equities will remain under pressure. |
|
November 30 |
Capitalist Advisor |
Free
Speech and the Integrity of Research
Investors are best-served
by a free flow of information -- not only information of
the highest-quality, but information that's analyzed
objectively. Unless forecasts are based on sound
information and objective methods, they are useless
(when not dangerous) to a portfolio manager. Viewing the
state of investment information, research and
forecasting today, one finds that each is sorely lacking
both in quality and objectivity. |
|
November 27 |
InterMarket Forecaster |
The InterMarket
Forecaster |
|
November 12 |
Capitalist Advisor |
The Policy Mix
Index: A Slight Improvement
IFI's
measure of the U.S. 'policy mix' since we
introduced our inaugural reading last April.
The index now stands at 43.5, up from 41.8 in
April. This reading lies roughly in-between a
'mildly bullish' and 'bullish' signal, with a
slight-leaning toward 'bullish.' The policy
mix index primarily signals the likely
performance of U.S. equities in the coming
year. |
|
November 6 |
Investment Focus |
The Almighty
Consumer is Depressed--and That's Bullish
According to the
Conference Board, which has published a
"consumer confidence" index since 1967,
American consumers were more depressed in
October than at any time since November 1993.
The index fell to 79.4 in October, down from
93.7 in September and off 28.3% from a recent
peak of 110.7 in March.1 That was the largest
seven- month decline since 1970. It all sounds
pretty grim. In fact, most economists and
market commentators -- after repeating the
age-old myth that "consumers represent
two-thirds of the economy" -- interpret the
latest reading as a bearish signal for stocks
and the economy. |
|
October 31 |
InterMarket Forecaster |
The InterMarket
Forecaster |
|
October 18 |
Capitalist Advisor |
The Injustice of Insider-Trading Rules
Insider-trading rules punish innocent and
productive behavior -- and destroy share-
holder wealth. The case against ImClone's Sam
Waksal is only the most recent historical
example of this. Nearly $5 billion of
ImClone's market value (or 90% of its peak)
has been destroyed by U.S. regulators: by the
fraudulent acts of both SEC and FDA officials.
Investors must consider regulatory risk. This
report examines the ImClone-Waksal case -- as
well as the broader issue of insider trading
rules and why they undermine the stock market.
|
|
October 14 |
Capitalist Advisor |
Elections
Futures Market Points to Status Quo in U.S.
Congress
When it
comes to forecasting election outcomes, market
prices are more informative and reliable than
public opinion polls -- just as market prices
offer better fore- casts of investment
outcomes, com- pared to the widespread use of
in-accurate and backward-looking
economic-accounting data (or 'sentiment'
measures). When people put their money where
their mouths are, they tend to be more
focused, rational and candid.
|
|
October 7 |
Investor Alert |
A
'Spring-Loaded' Stock Market
Everyone
is familiar with the fake canister of peanuts
used as a practical joke on the unsuspecting:
remove the lid and out pops toy 'snakes' made
of coils wrapped in cloth. The victim of the
joke is momentarily startled by what springs
out and shoots across the room -- or in his
face. Investors may well experience a similar
surprise some time in the coming months -- a
surprise involving not snakes, but stock
prices. |
|
September 30 |
Investor Alert |
A 'Template' for
Persecuting Wall Street
Government
officials in the U.S.— at the SEC and the
Attorney General's Office of the State of New
York — are compelling brokerage firms to pay
huge fines, artificially separate their
internal departments, fire investment bankers,
impose censorship on analysts, appoint lawyers
instead of bankers as their CEOs, and curb the
firms' favorable treatment of their best
clients. This unjust and wealth- destroying
persecution was initiated against Merrill
Lynch last spring but it continues currently
against Salomon Smith Barney (part of
Citigroup) and is likely to be extended to at
least a half-dozen other brokerage firms
before the year is out. |
| September
27 |
InterMarket Forecaster |
The InterMarket
Forecaster |
| September
17 |
Investment Alert |
Appeasement Persists -- and Destroys Wealth
A year ago --in the wake of terrorist attacks on America
-- we showed how they were the result of decades of U.S.
appeasement of Arabic-Islamic barbarism. We warned of
bearish market consequences as a result of U.S.
officials showing signs -- even after September 11th --
of continued appeasement.3 That is precisely what we've
seen over the past year. |
|
September 10 |
Capitalist Advisor |
Greenspan's Gremlins
The three most important factors for U.S. equity
investors to have known in recent years--setting aside any possible
foreknowledge of the terrorist attacks of a year ago--were 1) changes
in the dollar price of gold, 2) the position of the Treasury yield
curve and 3) the Federal Reserve's view of so- called 'bubbles.'
|
| August 30 |
InterMarket Forecaster |
The InterMarket
Forecaster |
| August 28 |
Investment Focus |
The Mythical Housing
'Bubble' |
| August 20 |
Investment Alert
|
CEOs
Sign Away Their Lives
|
|
August 5 |
Capitalist
Advisor |
Guess Whats Wrong with
Hong Kong?
Most Asian stocks
have dramatically outperformed the U.S. so far this year (and most of
the past year). Hong Kong has been an exception--as it has for most of
the past five years. Not coincidentally, it was five years ago that the
world's largest communist dictatorship (China) took over the only nation
in the world that remotely approximated laissez-faire capitalism (Hong
Kong). At the time most economists and market commentators believed
China's officials would abide by their promise of "one country, two
systems"--and that China wouldn't dare "kill the goose that laid the
golden eggs." |
|
July 29 |
Capitalist
Advisor |
What the World Needs Now Is Greed— More
Greed
A Secretary Paul O'Neill, SEC Chairman
Harvey Pitt, Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan, the U.S. Congress (especially
the Republicans), parrot-like media pundits and even 'the man on the
street' (who usually knows better than all of the above) -- believes the
U.S. stock market has lost $8 trillion (or 46%) from its peak value in
March 2000 (or even the $3.5 trillion that's been lost in the past year)
due to 'corporate greed' and 'fraud.' They also believe that greed
engenders fraud. |
|
July 24 |
InterMarket
Forecaster |
The InterMarket Forecaster |
|
July 12 |
Capitalist
Advisor |
The War on Business
Intensifies
Instead of conducting a 'War on
Terrorism,' the U.S. government-- to the applause of most economists,
journalists and (yes) CEOs--is conducting a War on Business. |
|
July 4 |
Capitalist
Advisor |
Put The "Independence" Back In
Independence Day--The Forgotten Meaning Of America |
|
June 30 |
InterMarket
Forecaster |
The InterMarket Forecaster |
|
June 28 |
Capitalist
Advisor |
The Government Takeover of Accounting
Should government interventions intensify -- as is now likely --
investors should expect the quality of accounting to deteriorate still
further.
|
|
June 19 |
Capitalist
Advisor |
The Wealth-Transfer Tax Lives
At 55%, the top U.S. estate tax--better
called a wealth-transfer tax--is the third-highest in the world
|
|
June 7 |
Investor
Alert |
Mr. Market Is Not Pleased
Mr. Market is not pleased--especially
with the U.S. policy mix.
Instead of killing terrorists and
vanquishing the governments of terror-sponsoring nations, U.S. officials
are trying to build a nation-wide 'bunker' that imposes more regulations
and costs on business! The U.S. is in the middle of what is,
effectively, World War III. It's the Muslim World versus the Civilized
World (what's left of it). Yet U.S. officials, instead of fighting known
enemies, are effectively appeasing them and surrendering to them. At the
same time, an unjust domestic war is being waged in Washington
against innocent businesses and shareholders.
|
|
May 31 |
InterMarket
Forecaster |
The InterMarket Forecaster
|
|
May 28 |
Capitalist
Advisor |
Capital on Strike, Part II |
|
May 21 |
Capitalist
Advisor |
Capital on Strike
Investors should realize that what's commonly referred to as "capital
flight" is actually capital going on strike. Another form of it
can be seen in the history of 'brain drains'--usually of the
most-intelligent entrepreneurs, engineers, doctors and scientists--away
from oppressive regimes toward less oppressive or liberalized ones. |
|
May 7 |
Investment
Focus |
Is It May Day For the Dollar?
The universal signal of distress
for aircraft pilots when their plane is going down is "May Day."
Fittingly, the U.S. dollar's decline in recent months accelerated after
May Day last week -- the same day U.S. Treasury Secretary Paul O'Neill,
in testimony before Congress, effectively abdicated responsibility for
the value of the dollar.
|
|
April 30 |
InterMarket
Forecaster |
The InterMarket Forecaster
|
|
April 24 |
Capitalist
Advisor |
Introducing the 'Policy Mix Index'
In this report we introduce a 'Policy Mix Index' (PMI) to
help investors assess overall government policy and its likely impact on
equity returns, profits and the economy. |
|
April 15 |
Investment
Focus |
Is An Oil Price Spike Necessarily Bearish?
The oil price cannot be viewed in isolation if investors wish to avoid
misleading conclusions (and inaccurate forecasts of portfolio
performance). |
|
April
8 |
Investor
Alert |
Are There Still
"Reasons to Be Bullish"—A Retrospective
|
|
March
29 |
InterMarket
Forecaster |
The InterMarket Forecaster
|
|
March
22 |
Investor
Alert |
Return of the
Market Saboteurs
|
|
March
19 |
Investment
Focus |
Convertibles with the Top-
Down
|
|
March
15 |
Capitalist
Advisor |
Forgotten Heroes of
9/11
|
|
March
12 |
Capitalist
Advisor |
Protectionism
and the Dollar
|
|
February 28 |
InterMarket
Forecaster |
InterMarket
Forecaster
|
|
February 25 |
Capitalist
Advisor |
Misplaced
Investor Wrath
|
|
February 13 |
Investor
Alert |
What Are
the Chances of a Bear Market "Three-peat?" |
|
February 6 |
Capitalist
Advisor |
A Tale of Two
Bankruptcies: Enron and Argentina |
|
January 30 |
Capitalist
Advisor |
To Get Money Out
of Politics |
|
January 29 |
InterMarket
Forecaster |
InterMarket
Forecaster |
|
January 23 |
|
Outlook 2002 |
|
January 14 |
|
Track Record 2001 |
|
January
8 |
Investor
Alert |
"Fed Activism, the Yield Curve and the U.S. Business Cycle"
|
|
January
4 |
Capitalist
Advisor |
"Is
"Europhoria" Warranted?"
|
|
January
8 |
Investor
Alert |
"Fed Activism, the Yield Curve and the U.S. Business Cycle"
|
|
January
4 |
Capitalist
Advisor |
"Is "Europhoria" Warranted?"
|
2001 |
|
|
|
December
28 |
InterMarket
Forecaster |
|
|
December
21 |
Capitalist
Advisor |
"Why Christmas Should Be More Commercial"
|
|
December
11 |
Investor
Alert |
"Argentina's Collapse in the Context of Previous Emerging Market Disasters" |
|
December
4 |
Investor
Alert |
"DJIA-NASDAQ Ratio as Forecaster of Relative Performance"
|
|
November
27 |
InterMarket
Forecaster |
|
|
November
21 |
Capitalist
Advisor |
"Thanksgiving: Producer's Holiday"
|
|
November
15 |
Capitalist
Advisor |
"Messages From Sector Rotation"
|
|
November
7 |
Investor
Alert |
"U.S. Market Performance Surrounding Recession"
|
|
October
31 |
InterMarket
Forecaster |
|
|
October
25 |
Investor
Alert |
"The Recent Market Rebound - Is It Sustainable?"
|
|
October
17 |
Capitalist
Advisor |
"The Ignoble Nobels"
|
|
October
5 |
Investor
Alert |
"Those Alleged Stimulus Measures"
|
|
September
30 |
InterMarket
Forecaster |
|
|
September
26 |
Investor
Alert |
"U.S. Market Performance Surrounding War"
|
|
September
22 |
Capitalist
Advisor |
"U.S. Officials Fiddle While America Burns"
|
|
September
19 |
Investor
Alert |
"All Bets Are Off: Here's What Investors Should Do Now"
|
|
September
17 |
Capitalist
Advisor |
"Terrorism and Its Appeasement"
|
|
September
7 |
Investor
Alert |
"A Victory for Microsoft - and the Market"
|
|
August
24 |
InterMarket
Forecaster |
|
|
August
21 |
Investor
Alert |
"The Waiting Game"
|
|
August 15 |
Capitalist
Advisor |
"The
Crime of '71: A Retrospective"
|
|
August 10 |
Investor
Alert |
"The
U.S. Dollar: Able Forecaster of Financial Returns"
|
|
July
31 |
InterMarket
Forecaster |
|
|
July
26 |
Capitalist
Advisor |
"Cutting Through the Globaloney in Genoa"
|
|
July
20 |
Investor
Alert |
"Canada: Is There A Case For Northern Exposure?"
|
|
July
10 |
Investor
Alert |
"Trustbusting: The Risk That Won't Recede"
|
|
June
31 |
InterMarket
Forecaster |
|
|
June
28 |
Investor
Alert |
"Argentina's
Blind Date With an Ugly Currency"
|
|
June
18 |
Investor
Alert |
"GE
and the EC's Trustbusters"
|
|
June
11 |
Capitalist
Advisor |
"The
GOP's Senate Loss: Bearish, Neutral or Bullish?"
|
|
May
31 |
InterMarket
Forecaster |
|
|
May
23 |
Investor
Alert |
|
|
May
15 |
Investor
Alert |
"Capital
Gains Tax and Equity Returns"
|
|
May
7 |
Capitalist
Advisor |
"Greenspan's
'Reserve Armies' - and Your Portfolio"
|
|
April
30 |
InterMarket
Forecaster |
"Golden Rules to
Profit By"
|
|
April
25 |
Investor
Alert |
"Argentina:
Flirting With Disaster"
|
|
April
20 |
Investor
Alert |
"Substantial
Fed Rate Cuts Hardly A Surprise"
|
|
April 6 |
Investor
Alert |
"Reasons to be
Bullish Today: A Near Mirror Image of Reasons to be Bearish a Year
Ago"
|
|
March
30 |
InterMarket
Forecaster |
|
|
March
23 |
Investor Alert
|
"Japan Doesn't Need More
Yen, It Needs a More Valuable Yen."
|
|
March
16 |
Investor Alert
|
"Better Policy Deferred is Not What Markets Prefer"
|
|
February
28 |
InterMarket
Forecaster |
|
|
February
23 |
Investor
Alert |
"Stagflation" Is Last Year's News
|
|
February 14
|
Capitalist Advisor
|
"The Bush Tax Cuts:
Bigger - and Sooner - Would Be Better."
|
|
January 30
|
InterMarket Forecaster
|
|
|
January 4
|
Investor Alert
|
"Fed Does the
Right Thing - And Bullishness is Warranted"
|
2000 |
|
|
|
December 20
|
InterMarket Forecaster
|
|
|
December 14
|
Investor Alert
|
"The NASDAQ Plunge in Historical Contest"
|
|
December 8
|
Capitalist
Advisor
|
"Transition
2000: The GOP Mandate and the Bush Cabinet"
|
|
November 22
|
InterMarket Forecaster
|
|
|
November 13
|
Investor Alert
|
"Portfolios are Being Gored - But Market Resilience Reflects
Improving Fundamentals"
|
|
November 9
|
Investor Alert
|
"Investing Amidst Mob Rule"
|
|
November 4
|
Capitalist Advisor
|
"Campaign
2000: It Looks Like a GOP Sweep -
and That's Bullish"
|
|
October 20
|
InterMarket Forecaster
|
|
|
October 19
|
Capitalist Advisor
|
"Campaign 2000: Bush Makes a Comeback - But Still Trails in Futures
Markets"
|
|
October 16
|
Investor Alert
|
"It's a Bloody Good Time to Be Bullish"
|
|
October 10
|
Investor Alert
|
"Gold - Not Debt - Forecasts Bond Yields"
|
|
October 5
|
The Capitalist Advisor
|
"Campaign 2000: Wait - It Gets Worse"
|
|
October 2
|
Investor Alert
|
"Euro-Trash"
|
|
September 25
|
InterMarket Forecaster
|
|
|
September 8
|
Capitalist Advisor
|
"Bush's Risky Campaign Scheme"
|
|
August 21
|
Investor Alert
|
"What Will the Fed Do After Tomorrow?"
|
|
August 14
|
Capitalist Advisor
|
"'Retiring' Social Security: Investment Implications
of Proposed Reforms - and Beyond"
|
|
August 7
|
Capitalist Advisor
|
"How Gore Might Bushwhack the GOP"
|
|
July 21
|
Capitalist Advisor
|
"The Injustice of Antitrust"
|
|
July 10
|
Investor Alert
|
"Fed Policy, Yield Spreads and Bond Returns"
|
|
June 30
|
Investor Alert
|
"Fed Wrecking Crew Takes a Coffee Break"
|
|
June 15
|
Capitalist Advisor
|
"The Rational Basis of Price-Earnings Multiples"
|
|
May 29
|
Investor Alert
|
"When Will the NASDAQ Hit a Real Bottom?"
|
|
May 10
|
Capitalist Advisor
|
"Fed Rate Hikes Would Only Further Boost Inflation"
|
|
May 1
|
Investor Alert
|
"When Earnings Season Becomes Open Season"
|
|
April 17
|
Capitalist Advisor
|
"The Anti-Wealth Effect"
|
|
April 4
|
Investor Alert
|
"Antitrust: Landmarks and Landmines"
|
|
March 29
|
Investor Alert
|
"Oil Headed for $20/bbl Regardless of OPEC"
|
|
March 21
|
Investor Alert
|
"The Cancer Threatening Biotech Stocks"
|
|
February 22
|
Capitalist Advisor
|
"Why Greenspan Trashes the Markets"
|
|
February 4
|
Investor Alert
|
"How Long Can This Keep Going On?"
|